Forest Green Rovers are considered strong contenders for the National League title this season despite a recent home defeat. A new report from the Economics Observatory this week highlights their status while the team sits 14th in the table with six points from four games.
How does the report rate Forest Green?
The analysis, which covers the top six tiers of English football, gives Forest Green Rovers a leading 35% chance of winning the National League. Carlisle United are named as the second favourites. The club started the 2026/27 campaign with two victories before suffering a 3-0 loss at home to Boreham Wood. That result contributed to a current goal difference of minus three, with five scored and eight conceded so far.
What is the current league picture?
Forest Green's early season has been inconsistent, reflected in a recent form sequence of loss, loss, win, win. They are currently six points behind the league leaders, Sutton United. You can track their progress on the official standings page. The defeat to Boreham Wood was a significant setback, especially as the same report suggests Boreham Wood also has a good chance of performing well this term.
What about the other National League divisions?
The same Economics Observatory study made forecasts for the divisions below. Macclesfield are given a 76% probability of winning the National League North. In the South, Dagenham and Redbridge are assigned a 34% chance after winning all four of their opening matches.
What's next for Forest Green Rovers?
The immediate focus is an away match against Fylde. The statistical model referenced in the report gives Forest Green a 56% chance of winning that fixture, with an expected goals figure of 2.0. The team will need to improve its defensive record, which you can examine in more detail on our stats page, to turn potential into points and close the gap at the top. Their upcoming schedule is available on our fixtures list.
